Tuesday, December 22, 2009

A College Football Playoff System Would Never Work



**Today's post has been written by featured guest writer Dr. Jeffrey A. Glenn aka JAG**

I’ve been inspired by our co-leader, Mr. Kenny Masenda. He stared directly into the abyss and went against the grain with his argument that Philip Rivers was the better QB when compared to Drew Brees. I also have an opinion on a matter that takes me upstream against the current. It’s a debate that heats up every year about this time. I am well aware that over 90% of you will disagree with me (but that doesn’t necessarily mean that I’m wrong). Ok. Here we go.

Now, let me be clear. A playoff system would be fantastic if the best eight teams were going to be invited. My point is that the big six conferences (and Notre Dame) have the system rigged in their favor. A playoff would be just as corrupt and unfair as the current system. There are literally dozens of reasons and I could write a pretty lengthy thesis on this subject but I’m going to try to be disciplined and just hit the high notes. The most popular suggestion is an eight team format; most agree that sixteen teams, requiring two teams to play four extra games is a bit much. It’s an NFL schedule with classwork thrown in.

1. Automatic Bids would clog up the playoff spots, leaving deserving teams out.

The Big Six conferences would demand a seat at the table and their precious automatic slots. Also, the non BCS schools would demand to be invited to the party as well. That’s seven of the eight spots tied up already. Even if a conference has a down year and has no one in the top 15, their 3 loss team would be invited anyway. “Money talks, BS runs the marathon “ (Nino Brown, 1991).

Now, most of you will say “no problem, just invite the conference champs, a non BCS school and an at large team.” Problem – if you did that this year, you would have Alabama, Texas, Cincinnati, TCU, Oregon, Ohio State, Georgia Tech, and …. Oops, we still have Florida and Boise. The TV networks would insist on Florida so undefeated Boise is out. Try explaining that to them, especially since they beat Oregon.

2. Notre Dame gets special treatment

I know Ed and many of you disagree, but Notre Dame clearly gets superstar status in college football. They already have a clause that grants them automatic BCS entry as long as they’re ranked in the top 12. NBC and Notre Dame would insist on the same terms before signing off on a playoff system. Say what you want, but the Irish bring tens of thousands of free spending fans to any bowl, making it an automatic smash hit moneymaker. They also draw high TV ratings with the upper middle and wealthy Irish Catholic viewers that are so coveted.

There is definite “poll inflation when it comes to the Irish and history shows us that they will qualify if they can get to 10-2. Assuming Kelly can get them back to this level, and many believe that he can, then all eight spots are taken and Florida gets the boot. Now you have Florida and the mighty SEC screaming bloody murder because they just lost a one loss team and Notre Dame waltzes in with two losses and without the pressure of having to win an additional conference championship game on the schedule. Under the current system, the SEC and Big Ten got two teams in at $17.5 million apiece. Let’s say the payout for making the quarters is $10 million and Ohio State loses in the first round. The Big Ten just went from $35 million to $10 million. I assume that University presidents know enough about math to be afraid of those figures.

Convinced yet? Well, how about this?

3. Bowls depend on tourism, and the playoff system would kill it.

The most popular scenario is to keep the current bowl system and let the bigger bowls act as quarterfinals, semifinal and final games on a rotating basis. I concede that TV ratings would be huge, but fans cannot afford to run around all over the country for three straight weeks to follow their teams. I am a Buckeye fan. I would have to skip the Cotton Bowl quarterfinal and cross my fingers that they won two games and made it to the championship game at the Rose Bowl or Jerry Jones’ funhouse or wherever. If Ohio State lost, I would be miffed and my bowl money would remain in my pockets. Under the current system, I know nearly a month in advance where my team is going. There’s only one game to prepare for and I can make all the proper arrangements.

4. When are you going to have these games?

The December / January sports calendar has been divided up quite nicely by the NCAA, NFL and NBA. You want to have these games on the weekend during the NFL playoffs? Forget it. Ain’t gonna happen. You want to have quarterfinal matchups on Christmas Day? You’ll be incurring the wrath of David Stern and the enmity of the NBA. The NCAA is not interested in stepping on toes and going head to head with the other major sporting events. The networks don’t want it either. You would have to play these games on weeknights which means fewer people being able to take off work and fill up the hotel rooms and shopping malls of the host city.

Like I said, I could go on and on, but we all are busy this time of year so I’m going to try to give you a break. I’m certain that I’ll have a chance to pontificate further for those who want to discuss this in the comments section.

What do you think? You need to get at me soon. I’m going on a New Years Day Duck Hunt! Go Buckeyes.

-JAG
http://www.edthesportsfan.com/

Comments

10 Responses to "A College Football Playoff System Would Never Work"
  1. B.Lane said...
    Tuesday, December 22, 2009 12:43:00 PM

    The main point I agree with- that with the big conferences in control and the huge amount of money at stake, a playoff system would still create questions of fairness and leave deserving teams out. The big 6 have little to no motivaton to change the status quo when it comes to matters of $$$$.

    I don't think the scheduling is that difficult though...just a quick glance at the 2009 bowl schedule and I say you have the group of 8 play on 12/19 (using higher seed home stadium instead of neutral site), then the semis on Jan. 1 or 2 (rotate site among current BCS bowl sites), and final on Jan. 8 (rotate site), (just one day later than it's set for now). No less than 1 week between games, sometimes 2, just as in regular season. Bowls already coordinate hotels, practices, and the preceding week's festivities, keep that tradition going.

    I also think fans *will* travel. There will certainly be some that can't afford to make multiple trips to watch their team, but there will also be plenty who will. For example, you think if Alabama beats Ohio State in the semis, that those same Bammer fans won't show up the next week to play Texas in a championship? Doubt it.

  2. Scott Burks said...
    Tuesday, December 22, 2009 1:22:00 PM

    FINALLY!

    Someone else has seen the light. Long live the BCS...

    http://www.theklowntimes.net

  3. JAG said...
    Tuesday, December 22, 2009 1:26:00 PM

    @ B. Lane

    Your points are valid. I don't think you can have all four quarterfinal matchups on 12/19. You would have to run them from noon - midnight and the TV execs want prime time hours. They would insist on a Thurs night, Fri night and a sat doubleheader). We agree that Sunday belongs to the NFL and must be kept sacrosanct. lol

    You think people can make all those trips? Ok. I'll concede that point. They must have more money and a more understanding spouse than I.

    If I told my wife, "sorry, we can't remodel the kitchen, especially since I'll be spending the next three weekends running around after the Buckeyes," I'd better prepare for some couch time!

    ;-)

    JAG

  4. JAG said...
    Tuesday, December 22, 2009 1:40:00 PM

    One more thing, B. Lane,

    I agree in principle with your idea of having the quarters at home field sites. But there are some problems.

    1. You would upstage the minor bowls, who are in bed with ESPN for vital holiday programming.

    2. You would have to deal with cold weather sites like Columbus, Ohio or small, college towns like Fort Worth, Texas that aren't really tourist attractions. If you're right and people would travel, I wonder if Iowa City or Gainesville, Florida could prepare for 40,000 visitors in a week.

    It was pretty easy to convince the family to come out to Southern Cal for the Rose Bowl. (They'll drop me off and hit Disneyland and Venice Beach). If I told them we were going to Boise, Idaho or Tuscaloosa, Alabama, I would be getting a bunch of blank stares.

    LOL

    Great debate.

    JAG

  5. Reverend Paul Revere said...
    Tuesday, December 22, 2009 1:44:00 PM

    Every other sport has a playoff. I could still work, but it won't change because of money. Hell, even lower divisions of COLLEGE FOOTBALL have successful playoffs.

  6. Stankoniforous 0ne said...
    Tuesday, December 22, 2009 1:45:00 PM

    I'm willing to concede a playoff has been thought out very well, but uh...neither was the BCS. When ND can negotiate its own terms, HOUSTON we have a PROBLEM.

    It's like the BCS is cheating ND...invite their money spending fans to blow their cake in whatever city they are in and then sit back and watch a better team mollywhop their beloved Irish. Sounds kinda bent to me.

    Also, this playoff could work with sufficient lead time.

    When KU made the Orange Bowl i was inundated with emails about travel packages for hotel, airfare, food, and a car.

    I think the big bowls could do the same. If you're team doesn't make it, you sell the packages and make a lil profit. Fans get tix, etc. Bowls get a full stadium, and cities get fans willing to put strippers through college.

    Win for everyone.

  7. JAG said...
    Tuesday, December 22, 2009 5:51:00 PM

    Rev and Stank - You guys are correct. The lower divisions (and high schools in every state for that matter) have playoffs. That's because no one is rigging it with automatic bids. You have to earn your way in. Yes, hoops has automatic bids, but since they can have 64 teams, it doesn't really matter.

    I agree with the Notre Dame assessment. It's ironic that their special treatment often works against them. They get invited to bowls which they don't deserve and get blown out. They just had a ten bowl losing streak.

    Scott - I'm not ready to praise the BCS just yet. I would like to see the "plus one" format where you play the traditional bowls like the old days, then have one extra game between 1 and 2 a couple weeks later. Not the best solution, but the best we can hope for.

    ;-)

    JAG

  8. MsB, Ph.D. said...
    Wednesday, December 23, 2009 11:31:00 PM

    I too believe that fans, particularly of the powerhouse schools, will travel. Hell, there are enough alumni/fans across the country of big schools such as Texas, Ohio St, and Penn State...I don't think it would be a problem getting folks to fill stadiums for multiple games.

    There are valid arguments for and against the BCS, but either way, the current system has to be tweeked...there's definitely room for improvement.

    @JAG: As a Pasadena resident, I welcome you to the city. As a Penn State alumni, I hope you guys lose:-) LOL

  9. JAG said...
    Thursday, December 24, 2009 2:35:00 PM

    MsB, Ph.D.

    Maybe you're right. I am having a hard time picturing myself going to Texas for a quarterfinal game, California for the semis and New Orleans for the Championship. Who's got that kind of vacation time? I guess I'm just not dedicated enough (or maybe too much of a cheapskate).

    Thanks for the welcome to Pasadena but now you've pushed me into another subject. Once the season's over and the Bowl games start, the Big Ten should come together and root for each other, Dr. Nittany Lion!

    Bowl results are an important factor in determining the strength of a conference. Don't you like $300 million TV contracts from ABC and ESPN? Penn State can't do it by themselves. LOL

    JAG

  10. MsB, Ph.D. said...
    Wednesday, December 30, 2009 6:50:00 PM

    Good point, JAG. LOL

    I do take pride in the Big Ten doing well, and to the fact that I can't find a single Oregon fan in Pasadena. All I see is red:-)

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